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AGW Countermeasures the Perfect Brew for “Unintended Consequences”

Is the fixation on regulating CO2 and in general all “greenhouse gases” a wise path to follow? Apparently not: as it falls exactly within what Alex Tabarrok via Freakonomics considers the domain of the law of unintended consequences:

The law of unintended consequences is what happens when a simple system tries to regulate a complex system. The political system is simple, it operates with limited information (rational ignorance), short time horizons, low feedback, and poor and misaligned incentives. Society in contrast is a complex, evolving, high-feedback, incentive-driven system. When a simple system tries to regulate a complex system you often get unintended consequences […]

The fact that unintended consequences of government regulation are usually (but not always or necessarily) negative is not an accident […]

Does the law of unintended consequences mean that the government should never try to regulate complex systems? No, of course not, but it does mean that regulators should be humble (no trying to remake man and society) and the hurdle for regulation should be high.

Repeat with me: no trying to remake man and society

no trying to remake man and society
no trying to remake man and society
no trying to remake man and society
no trying to remake man and society
no trying to remake man and society
no trying to remake man and society

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  1. 2008/01/27 at 12:14

    The problem is that CO2 has little, if anything to do with strong global warming between 1918 and 1940, and the long cooling period from 1940 to 1965, as Bob Carter, a paleoclimatologist from Australia, noted recently. These events could be understood if the focus would be laid on the winter temperatures as it has been discussed by: http://www.arctic-warming.com . Another example is the four decade global cooling that started in winter 1939/40 with a ‘bang’, with extreme winter temperatures all over the Northern Hemisphere, but particularly the coldest winter in North-western Europe for more than 110 years, see: http://www.seaclimate.com . Not only IPCC’s, but also sceptic’s claims, as by Richard Lindzen, would gain much weight, if they could clearly explain the two major climatic shifts during the 20th Century, by the sudden commencement of (1) Arctic warming in winter 1918/19, and (2) the Global cooling in winter 1939/40.

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